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Notes on random target
selection: The PRL autoganzfeld target and target set distributions
revis |
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Written by Administrator
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sexta, 10 setembro 2004 |
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Bierman, Dick J, Broughton, Richard S &
Berger, Rick E (1998). Notes on random target selection: The PRL autoganzfeld
target and target set distributions revisited. Journal of
Parapsychology, 62(4), (pp. 339-348) Abstract The authors distinguish between a random
target selection procedure which, in principle, excludes sequential
dependencies, and a resulting random target sequence that may contain
peculiarities--especially in terms of target frequency distribution (TFD),
which may correspond to a subject\'s response biases. Post-hoc corrections
that adjust the hit probability are available. A correction is not needed in
case of a balanced situation. The distinction is illustrated for the random
target selection procedure and the resulting target sequence in the PRL
autoganzfeld studies. A conservative correction results in a slight reduction
of the overall significance and a reduction in differences in scoring rates
on static and dynamic targets, thus weakening the firm conclusion drawn in
the original paper (D. J. Bem and C. Honorton, 1994) that dynamic targets are
superior to static targets. A peculiar TFD is found which cannot be explained
on the basis of the target selection procedure!. Most notably, the targets
77, 78, 79, and 80 are over-represented, which results in a strong
over-representation of Set 20 which contains these 4 targets. However, the
reported deviations from a well-balanced TFD cannot explain the excess of
hits reported for the PRL autoganzfeld study.
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