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Hit-contingent response
bias in Helmut Schmidt's automated precognition experiments. |
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Written by Administrator
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sexta, 10 setembro 2004 |
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Palmer, John (1997). Hit-contingent response bias in Helmut
Schmidt\'s automated precognition experiments. Journal of
Parapsychology, 61(2), (pp. 135-141) Abstract Inspection of raw data sheets of 3 Ss who
participated in H. Schmidt\'s (1969) highly successful automated 4-choice
precognition experiments revealed a strong tendency for Ss to repeat their
last call if it had been a hit. This effect occurred 86.1% of the time on
high-aim trials, and a more modest 32.1% of the time on low-aim trials. There
also were response biases following misses, but their nature differed among
Ss. On high-aim trials, the hit rate was the same on the repeat-following-hit
(R-F-H) trials as on other trials. In the low-aim trials, however, the hit
rate was significantly lower on R-F-H trials than on other trials. Evaluation
of the target distributions revealed a significant excess of repeats on R-F-H
trials, but only for high-aim trials where the bias is inconsequential. The
strong response biases noted in these data are inconsistent with the
hypothesis that spontaneous responding is necessary for success in
forced-choice ESP experiments.
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