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Evaluation of a
conventional interpretation of Helmut Schmidt's automated precognition
experimen |
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Written by Administrator
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sexta, 10 setembro 2004 |
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Palmer, John (1996). Evaluation of a
conventional interpretation of Helmut Schmidt\'s automated precognition
experiments. Journal of Parapsychology, 60(2), (pp. 149-170) Abstract Analyses of raw data from H. Schmidt\'s
(1969) automated precognition experiments were undertaken to determine if the
results could be attributed to Ss capitalizing on local biases in the target
sequences, as J. E. Alcock has suggested. Global nonrandomness was refuted by
Good\'s Generalized Serial Test. A computer program was developed to
identify successive blocks of trials for which the singlet target frequencies
were significantly diverse. There was a strong tendency in these biased
blocks for target and response frequencies to match on miss trials. Weaker
effects in the same direction were found for doublets. When expected hits in
all blocks were adjusted for this matching bias (MB), it was found that the
bias could not account for all the significance. When the criterion for
biased blocks was liberalized, the MB effect could account for all the
significance in the high-aim files but not the low-aim files, and it was
absent in 1 of the 3. Two control tests using new !random targets for miss
trials gave chance results. The MB effect is shown to be at least partly
attributable to subject response biases to preceding targets, rejecting
Alcock\'s hypothesis.
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